Daily Kos

Compare IL to NY

Fri Feb 01, 2008 at 10:08:35 AM PDT

Looking at the latest polls that one can find in these two states, I like to compare the winners and the loser cross state. It gives me a different view of things ( I always  like to look at things differently)

The latest NY poll I Can find is "Public Policy".
The latest IL poll I can find is "Research 2000".

Winning side
Public Policy shows Clinton winning NY with 45%
Research 2000 shows Obama winning IL with 51%.
Interesting Obama is ahead by 6% cross state.

Losing side
"Public Policy" out of NY shows Obama losing with 33%
"Research 2000" out of IL shows Clinton losing with 22%
Interesting again Obama is ahead cross state by 11%

Why this is interesting is how delegates are awarded by percentage not winner take all.
He wins IL by more than 5% more than she wins NY
and he loses NY by less than Clinton loses Ill.

So he wins by more and loses by less.
The momentum is with Obama.

Tags: Polls, Analysis, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

View Comments | 26 comments